US analysts expect new Iran strikes after November midterms

American analysts consider a new wave of large-scale US strikes against Iran likely shortly after the 3 November midterm elections, linking the possibility to the military buildup in the region and recent moves by Washington and Israel. Both outlets cite Suzanne Maloney, a researcher at the Brookings Institution, who estimates that strikes could occur shortly after the elections.

The two countries have largely confined their confrontation to the sea in recent times. The United States maintains a blockade of Iranian ports in the Persian Gulf, while Iran seeks to control the strategically important Strait of Hormuz.

“I now estimate that there is a possibility of strikes shortly after the midterm elections.”

Neither side has launched a major attack against land targets since early September. However, analysts say neither military option available to the United States and Iran appears capable of bringing a definitive end to the conflict.

The war launched by the United States and Israel against Iran on 28 February 2026 has caused significant discontent among American public opinion, mainly because of the sharp rise in energy prices. This discontent could affect President Donald Trump's Republican Party in the crucial vote.

President Trump has publicly stated that he will not order new attacks against Iran before the elections, because such a move would not benefit him politically. For Suzanne Maloney, the current status quo is not sustainable.

The blockade increases pressure on Iran, while Washington has been forced to use numerous naval and other strategic assets to maintain it. Analysts warn that the current situation can hardly be sustained indefinitely.

US analysts warn that renewed large-scale strikes against Iran remain possible after the 3 November midterm elections.