Democrats Lead Senate Polls in Michigan and Texas, Maine and Kansas Remain Toss-Ups

CNN polls conducted in four key Senate battlegrounds show Democrats well positioned in Michigan and Texas, but no clear leader in Maine or Kansas. The surveys were released in the final days of the midterm campaign ahead of Tuesday's elections.

The results reflect an unexpected electoral landscape that has given Democrats hope of winning Senate control. This possibility seemed nearly impossible at the start of the year and remains far from certain.

“The polls do not show a clear leader in the Maine or Kansas disputes.”

President Donald Trump's low popularity, even in states he won easily in 2024, has made formerly solid Republican territories competitive. In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers 49 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.

Texas, which has not elected a Democrat in a statewide race in three decades, gives Democrat James Talarico a slight edge over Republican Ken Paxton, 49 percent to 43 percent. Talarico benefits from Paxton's deeply negative image and strong support among Black, Latino, and Asian voters who backed Trump in 2024.

Maine was once seen as a top Democratic pickup opportunity because Senator Susan Collins is the only Republican seeking re-election in a state that voted Democratic in 2024. However, the race remains very tight, with the latest poll showing Democrat Troy Jackson at 49 percent and Collins at 45 percent among likely voters.

Kansas was also mentioned as a contest without a clear leader, though no specific polling figures were provided for that state. The four states together illustrate a shifting map that could determine which party controls the Senate after the midterms.