AfD narrowly leads SPD in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election; CDU faces exit
Projections show AfD at 37-38% and SPD at 35.5-36.5%, while CDU risks falling below the 5% threshold for the first time in its history.
KEY POINTS
- AfD leads with 37-38%, SPD follows at 35.5-36.5% per ARD/ZDF projections.
- CDU at 5-5.5% risks first-ever exit from a state parliament in party history.
- FDP projected below threshold at 1-1.2%; Left Party enters at 6-7.5%.
- No party will coalition with AfD, allowing SPD to continue governing.
- Turnout increased to 75.5% from 70.8% in 2021.
In the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, the AfD leads with 37 to 38 percent of the vote, more than doubling its 2021 result, while the incumbent SPD under Manuela Schwesig trails narrowly at 35.5 to 36.5 percent. Because no other party will coalition with the AfD, Schwesig is positioned to continue governing.
The CDU has collapsed to 5.0 to 5.5 percent, its weakest state election result nationally since the founding of the Federal Republic, and risks missing the parliamentary threshold for the first time in party history. The FDP is also projected to exit the parliament with only 1.0 to 1.2 percent.
“Schwesig presented herself in the election campaign as the 'woman against blue.'”
The Left Party is projected to enter the Landtag with 6.0 to 7.5 percent, though a continuation of the current SPD-Left coalition may fall short of a majority. The Greens and the BSW also face uncertainty regarding the 5 percent hurdle.
Turnout rose significantly to 75.5 percent from 70.8 percent in 2021. Schwesig campaigned as the "woman against blue," reversing a large AfD lead seen in polls a year ago when the SPD stood at just 19 percent.
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