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B.C. Conservatives Lead NDP in Poll Before Oct. 24 Election

Research Co. survey shows Conservatives at 44%, NDP at 42% among decided voters, though leader Lorne Doerkson trails David Eby on best premier.

Sources: Nelson Star, Vernon Morning Star, Quesnel Cariboo Observer, Trail Times and 3 more7 sources ↓|· 1 min read

KEY POINTS

  • Conservatives lead NDP 44% to 42% among decided likely voters
  • Margin of error is 3.7 percentage points; race is statistically tied
  • Results consistent with Leger, Pallas Data, and Ipsos polls
  • David Eby leads Lorne Doerkson 36% to 25% on best premier
  • Conservatives gaining in Metro Vancouver per Research Co. president

A new Research Co. poll conducted Oct. 9 to 11 shows the B.C. Conservatives holding a narrow lead over the governing NDP less than two weeks before the Oct. 24 snap election. Among decided likely voters, 44% support the Conservatives and 42% back the NDP, with a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.

The results align with recent surveys from Leger, Pallas Data, and Ipsos, all showing a tight race. Research Co. president Mario Canseco said the Conservatives are gaining ground in Metro Vancouver, where most seats are located.

“You see the Conservatives gaining ground in the places where they need it, particularly Metro Vancouver, which is where most of the seats are.”

— Mario Canseco, Research Co. president

Despite the party's polling edge, Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson trails NDP leader David Eby by 11 points on the best premier question. Thirty-six percent of likely voters say Eby would make the best premier, compared to 25% for Doerkson.

Canseco noted the NDP's numbers show resilience, adding that voters do not yet see Doerkson as premier material except on crime and public safety.

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