Democrats Gain Ground in Midterm Polls as GOP Faces Headwinds
New polling shows Democrats competitive in key Senate races and favored to retake the House, but party leaders remain cautious.
KEY POINTS
- Democrats lead or tie in Senate polls in Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas.
- Generic ballot shows Democrats ahead by 7 to 12 points nationally.
- Kalshi prediction markets give Democrats a 90% chance to win the House.
- GOP analysts describe election scenarios as 'bad, really bad, or truly horrible.'
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar broke with Trump on immigration enforcement.
A wave of recent polls indicates Democrats are leading or tied in Senate races traditionally dominated by Republicans, including Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas. Emerson College surveys show Democratic nominees Adam Hamilton and Josh Turek narrowly ahead of GOP incumbents Roger Marshall and Ashley Hinson, while former Senator Sherrod Brown leads in Ohio. The generic congressional ballot now shows a Democratic advantage ranging from 7 to 12 points across major surveys.
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